It’s easy to get a lot of w88 online live casino, be careful of being fooled
Hao Xuguang
(Source: "Economic Daily"2015Year7month26日）
6Since mid-month, small and medium-sized investors have experienced a thrilling roller coaster ride in the stock market. There are many reasons for this, and an important aspect is that everyone's "availability bias" is at work: making decisions based on w88 online live casino that is easily available.
Why do people make decisions based on w88 online live casino that is readily available (as opposed to w88 online live casino that should be collected)? This is because people like to take shortcuts and are unwilling to think deeply.
The “availability bias” exists widely. For example, when investigating the situation of laid-off workers, if laid-off people are asked to answer the number of laid-off workers, they will exaggerate the number because there are more laid-off people around them. Psychologist1974A study was done in the United States in 2011, asking ordinary people to guess the death ratio between traffic accidents and gastric cancer in the United States. The average answer was that the former was the latter4times. But in fact, the number of deaths in the former that year was45000People, the latter is95000people, but the newspaper reported that the ratio of the two deaths was137Bi1. It can be seen that the "easiness" of w88 online live casino will affect people's judgment.
What kind of w88 online live casino is easy to obtain? w88 online live casino that is superficial, simple, and known to everyone is "easy to get," while w88 online live casino that is deep, complex, and exclusive is not so "easy to get." Immediate w88 online live casino and benefits are easy to see, but long-term w88 online live casino and benefits are difficult to see. For example, the United States"911"After the epidemic, many people did not dare to fly, but at this time, an in-depth examination may be that flying is the safest; in the later stage of SARS, everyone did not dare to go to public places, and an in-depth analysis may be that public places are very safe at this time.
The impact of “availability bias” on small and medium-sized investors. For example, in2014Shanghai stock market in the spring of next year2000At around 0:00, the securities business department is empty, and few people talk about the stock market during normal chats. At this time, what small and medium-sized investors see is that "no one is trading stocks and making money", almost all visible risks are exposed, and these examples are vivid, concrete and seen with their own eyes, which belongs to the w88 online live casino of "the near future rather than the long term, the surface rather than the deep level". “Easy-to-get” w88 online live casino such as macroeconomics not supporting a rising stock market is everywhere. Possible benefits are often hidden and are w88 online live casino that is not “easy to obtain”. Therefore, they generally do not enter the stock market at this time, and often sell stocks that have been held for a long time. But here2015Year5End of the month5000Above the 17869_18004| But risks are hidden, deep w88 online live casino that is not “easy to get”. Small and medium-sized investors are affected by the "availability bias" at this time and will blindly flock into the market. The "availability bias" causes small and medium-sized investors to often cut their profits at the bottom and get stuck at the top.
How small and medium-sized investors can avoid the impact of “availability bias”. Generally speaking, the problem is not very important, people can take shortcuts, and being affected by the "accessibility bias" has no bearing on the overall situation. However, stock market investment is definitely very important to individuals, so we cannot take shortcuts and avoid the influence of "availability bias": try to obtain actual statistics as much as possible, and try not to be swayed by "easily available" w88 online live casino such as superficial impressions. Avoid following what others say, think rationally, comprehensively, independently, and long-term as much as possible, eliminate falsehoods while retaining truths, and see the essence through phenomena. Small and medium-sized investors in the stock market "lose seven, draw, and win." Most people lose money, which shows that most people's ideas and practices are incorrect. Therefore, you should always operate in the opposite direction to the majority of people around you: when most people are fearful, you may as well be greedy; when most people are greedy and buy in large quantities, you must be fearful, that is, resolutely sell.
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