Q:3month5日, "Government Work Report" delivered by Premier Li Keqiang at the Second Session of the 12th National People's Congress, upon the return2013It was pointed out that “the total import and export volume exceeded 20%” when working in 2016.4Trillions of dollars, reaching a new level”. As an expert in w88 statistics, please provide an in-depth interpretation of this.

Answer:3month2日, People's Daily published an article by Minister of Commerce Gao Hucheng "From a Big Trading Country to a Powerful Trading Country". It is said that China’s foreign w88 has developed rapidly since the reform and opening up,2013Annual total value of w88 in goods4.16Trillion US dollars, ranking first in the world, and is a "milestone in the development of an open economy." At the same time, it was pointed out that "the road ahead will not be smooth" and that it is necessary to achieve the transformation from a large trading country to a powerful trading country so that foreign w88 can better serve the "Two Centenary Goals". I think Minister Gao's words should be the best interpretation of the Prime Minister's report.

Since China’s accession to the WTO13During the year, w88 in goods achieved “four breakthroughs and three surpasses” - China’s total w88 value2004Year,2007Year,2011Nianhe2013Breaking through each year1Trillion,2Trillion,3Trillion and4Trillion-dollar mark; surpassing Japan, Germany and the United States. Comprehensively measuring China's foreign w88, compared with the world's trading powers, China's gap is not small, and there are still many hurdles to overcome in future development. But anyway, breakthrough4One trillion is gratifying.

Q:What has been the response from all walks of life to this over time?

Answer:3At the beginning of the month, the Ministry of Commerce organized a symposium. During the "Two Sessions", reporters from mainstream media interviewed relevant representatives, committee members and experts, which were reported online and in newspapers. What is intriguing is that two months before this news was officially announced, that is, this year1～2In March, the statements of the media and experts can be summarized as the Chinese official’s high-profile praise of “super” (2001313614_13668

l 2014Year1month3日, "China Business News" published an article signed by a reporter based on interviews with several experts, "No suspense: China's total w88 in goods value topped the world last year." Reporters based on official reports from China and the United States2013Year1～11The goods w88 data for the month are extrapolated to the full-year data, and the above conclusion is reached.

l 1month10日, Director Zheng Yuesheng of the Statistics Department of the General Administration of Customs announced at the press conference of the State Council:2013China’s total import and export value reached4.16Trillions of dollars. According to the United States2013Year1～11Month’s data is extrapolated to its full-year data, “ChinaOvertaking the United States and ranking first in global goods w88 for the first time, it can be said that it is basically a foregone conclusion.

l On the same day shortly after Zheng Yuesheng’s speech, Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post published author Tom·Holland’s article titled “When it comes to China’s w88 data, all is not as it seems.” Questioning China’s “super beauty”.

l 1month12日, the US biweekly website Forbes published an article "Is China really the world's number one trading power?" ", and raised doubts about China's data from some aspects.

l During this period, some domestic scholars and experts sang the same tune as foreign media, denying the credibility of Chinese data.

l 1month13日, "First Financial Daily" published another article titled "Decrypting China’s No. 1 Global Goods w88: Before Last Year4Monthly data is questionable》.

l 1month17日，"China Business News" published another article titled "Guangdong's total import and export volume exceeds one trillion U.S. dollars, accounting for more than a quarter of the country." The above two articles discuss the legality and credibility of China's data from a specific aspect, insisting that China's total w88 in goods value exceeds that of the United States.

It should be pointed out that the "First Financial Daily"3Articles quoted reporters from this newspaper1month1Sunday morningIndividual conclusions recorded in the interview with the author. Although I hold the same views as the newspaper and have no objection to reporters quoting my judgments, I do not want all my systematic views to be "dismembered." I think this is the difference between news media and scholars. This forced me to pick up a pen and write my own article.

l 1month25日, the author submitted the article to the monthly magazine "International w88". My article focuses on solving the foreign media’s doubts about China’s data from the perspective of w88 statistics rules and methods. In addition, it also puts forward some suggestions on China’s construction of a w88 power5Something to think about.

l 2month10日, the author's report "China was published on the website of the China Statistical Society for Foreign Economic and w882013The annual total value of goods w88 exceeded the United States”, the basis is2month7日Published on the website of the U.S. Department of Commerce2013Full year data.

l 2month13日, the author communicated with the Department of w88 and Foreign Economic Affairs of the National Bureau of Statistics, giving a lecture on "China2013A beautiful analysis of the annual total value of w88 in goods.”

l 2month20日, "International w88" No.2The author's article "Analysis of China from the Statistical Rules" was published in issue 27876_27895|2013Whether the total value of w88 in goods exceeds that of the United States—Also on China's construction of a w88 power." This is another "zero lag" from submission to publication, which shows that this journal, as the first journal of the Ministry of Commerce, attaches great importance to the issues discussed and highly appreciates the author's arguments.

Q:What are the main points raised by foreign media when they question whether China’s total value of goods exceeds that of the United States? How do you explain that?

Answer:To summarize the foreign media’s doubts4Point.The problem of mainland goods entering and exiting through Hong Kong; about the comparison of mirror data with trading partners; comparing w88 in goods and w88 in services, the United States is still the "boss"; although it exceeds the United States, it is lower than the euro area.

The last two views are concepts that are changed or transferred issues. China has always been talking about whether the total value of w88 in goods exceeds that of the United States and ranks first in the world, and has not included w88 in services. Generally, comparisons are made between single economies in the world, and do not involve complex economies like the Eurozone, a year ago foreign media was very popular2012In 2018, China's total w88 in goods surpassed the United States and became the world's largest trading nation. This is also a comparison between a single economy.

The first two questions involve the legitimacy of a country’s official w88 data. Data collected by national statistical authorities are legal as long as they comply with international w88 statistics rules. Any organization or individual can use data from other sources to compare and speculate on a country's official data, but they cannot negate the official data with their research conclusions. Therefore, Zheng Yuesheng categorically denied at the press conference that China would2013Any corrections and adjustments to annual data. In the paper, the author discusses4Dian Qiao made a detailed analysis, supplemented by quantitative analysis.

Q:What do you think we need to focus on to accelerate the transformation into a w88 power?

Answer:I mentioned it in the article5Aspects: ⑴ balanced development of w88 in services and w88 in goods; ⑵ improve the level of emerging service businesses that serve manufacturing and increase the value added in the production process of finished products; ⑶ gain pricing power or at least the right to participate in pricing in the w88 of energy and strategic raw materials; ⑷ improve the level of importing and going out; ⑸ increase the voice in the formulation of international w88 rules and w88 negotiations.