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Professor Li Deyuan of Fudan University was invited to give an academic lecture at the w88 casino of Statistics

Published: April 29, 2026 Editor: Yu Lu

w88 casino News Network (provided by the w88 casino of Statistics)On April 16, Professor Li Deyuan from the Department of Statistics and Data Science, w88 casino of Management, Fudan University gave a wonderful academic report titled "Marginal Expected Loss Based on Systemic Risk and Systemic Risk Driven" to the teachers and students of w88 casino.本次讲座在诚信楼715举行,由统计学院院长刘立新主持,学院教师及硕博研究生参加了此次活动。

Before the lecture began, Liu Lixin first expressed a warm welcome to Professor Li Deyuan. Li Deyuan has been deeply involved in the fields of statistics and data science for a long time, and has made outstanding achievements in extreme value statistics, quantile regression, distributed statistics, risk management, causal inference, privacy protection and other directions. He has published more than 40 high-level academic papers in top statistics and economics journals.

In the report, Li Deyuan first introduced the core connotations and limitations of risk measurements such as value at risk and marginal expected loss (MES), and then focused on explaining the team's innovation results: by expanding the definition of system-wide stress events, he proposed "systemic and system risk-driven edge "International Expected Loss" (SYS2MES); under the framework of multivariable extreme value theory, an estimator adapted to tail-related and independent scenarios is constructed and the asymptotic theory is established; through simulation experiments and empirical research based on Dow Jones constituent stocks and US COVID-19 data, it is proven that its risk management effect is significantly better than traditional MES,且在金融、环境科学、社会网络等领域应用前景广阔。 During the interactive session, teachers and students on site enthusiastically asked questions. Li Deyuan gave detailed and in-depth answers one by one, and encouraged students to actively explore cutting-edge issues in cross-cutting fields such as risk management and extreme value statistics.最后,刘立新对报告进行了总结,并再次向黎德元表示诚挚的感谢。

This lecture has cutting-edge content, rigorous logic, and thorough explanations. It not only deepens teachers and students' understanding of the intersection of extreme value statistics and systemic risk management, but also provides a new method and perspective for quantitative research on financial risks.Written by: Xiong Wei, Luo Donghang, Photographed by: Wang Xuan, Reviewed by: Li Yue, Guo Wei

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