w88 casino News "International Business News"2009Year12month26日No.1Edition published the news "Next year the world economic growth rate will be3About %”, this report comes from w88 casino in ChinaWTO《 released by the institute2010World Economic and w88 Development and Policy Outlook". The original text is as follows:

[International Business News]2009Year12month26日1version

《2010World Economic and w88 Development and Policy Outlook" Forecast

Next year the world economic growth rate will be3About %

News from this newspaper Reporter Liu Zhaoxia reported by w88 casino ChinaWTO《 compiled by the Institute2010World Economic and w88 Development and Policy Outlook", will be held in2010Year1Officially published by w88 casino Press in October,3~4The report "China's Economic Security" will also be published in March, which reporters learned at the University of International w88 a few days ago.

　　《2010World Economic and w88 Development and Policy Outlook” is the University of International w88211Results of the third phase key discipline construction project, report on2010The world economic situation made a more optimistic prediction:2010The world's major economies will achieve positive growth, and macro stimulus policies will be gradually withdrawn on the basis of coordination among countries, but w88 protectionism will still be prevalent. China's economic growth will be in9% or more, w88 growth will exceed15％。

The report believes that although extreme systemic risks have been basically eliminated, there is still great instability and vulnerability in the global financial system. The financial crisis has cast a huge shadow on employment in various countries around the world, and the number of unemployed people has increased sharply.2010Oil prices are expected to rise in 2020, and inflation expectations are strengthening.2010The world economic growth rate is expected to be3About %. After the recovery is consolidated, countries should coordinate the timing and mechanisms for withdrawing stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. w88 protectionism will continue to exist but will not become mainstream.

The United States continues to loosen monetary policy

After the outbreak of the financial crisis, the United States adopted a series of rescue policies and measures, including monetary policy, which mainly reduced interest rates and discount rates, and innovated a variety of credit tools to directly inject liquidity into the financial market.2009Actual third quarter of the yearGDPMonth-on-quarter annualized growth3.5%, which means that the United States this time is as long as19Months of recession are over.

The report predicts2009The U.S. economic growth rate is0.5％，2010The U.S. economy will grow in 20113%. The U.S. consumption-led economic model will not change, but the Obama administration is trying to achieve it“Remanufacturing”'s goal may be difficult to achieve, and it will not help change the w88 imbalance. The loose monetary policy of the United States will continue to be maintained, and in terms of exchange rate policy, the U.S. dollar exchange rate will show a long-term downward trend of shock. Factors such as low interest rates, huge fiscal deficits, and current account deficits indicate that the U.S. dollar will tend to depreciate. The U.S. government, which has huge liabilities, also hopes to use the depreciation of the U.S. dollar to stimulate exports, pass on the cost of the crisis, and reduce the current account deficit. Therefore, the U.S. dollar exchange rate will show a long-term downward trend.

　The rise of EU w88 protectionism

　　2009Year10In March, the European economy showed signs of stabilization, with Germany and France taking the lead in achieving economic growth, and the economies of the Eurozone and the EU in11General recovery occurred in mid-month, but the economic prospects of Eastern European member states are still not optimistic.

Since2009Year3Since the United States implemented quantitative easing monetary policy in March, the euro has appreciated against the U.S. dollar17%around, causing serious impact on EU exports. Huge economic stimulus investments and sharp tax cuts have led to rapid expansion of fiscal deficits in many member states,EU27Country2009The average proportion of the fiscal deficit in GDP for the whole year will be6.5%, total amount up to8800Billion euros.

Therefore, the report believes2010The EU economy will gradually recover in 2020, and the euro area economic growth rate is expected to be2%around, the EU economic growth rate is1.5%Around 33243_33268|, the risk of economic downturn is small, and the EU unemployment rate will remain at8.5%~10%Around, the unemployment rate adjustment will take a long time. In terms of economic and w88 policies, the EU's monetary policy will remain stable, but the loose fiscal policy faces pressure to exit. The EU's w88 protectionism is on the rise, and w88 frictions with its trading partners, especially China, are increasing.

　　The yen continues to appreciate

201035154_35210

The report predicts,2010Year JapanGDPGrowth rate is1.1%. The economic growth of emerging economies and developing countries will be in5%To6%。

Japan is in201038107_38178

　　Emerging economies are developing well

Russia’s growth in exports of resource-based products has been severely impacted by the financial crisis,2008The annual economic growth rate is5.6%，2009The year is negative growth. But with2009The price of oil and other energy sources rose in 2017, and the Russian economy began to show signs of recovery.2010The Russian economy will further recover. The report predicts that the Russian economy2010year will appear5%Positive growth around.

Since2002The Brazilian economy has maintained rapid growth since 2008, but has been affected by the crisis.2009The annual economic growth rate will enter a trough. But under the influence of effective stimulus policies,2009Since the second half of the year, signs of recovery have begun to show, and its foreign w88 surplus will help it get out of recession as soon as possible. The report predicts2009Year BrazilGDPGrown to1%，2010Annual economic growth is expected to reach5.5%。

India in recent yearsGDPThe growth rate is second only to China. After the outbreak of the crisis, India's foreign w88 dropped sharply and the growth of its industrial and service industries slowed down severely.2008India’s w88 deficit increased year-on-year64.1%. since2009Starting from the second quarter of 2020, the Indian economy began to grow steadily, with significant growth in the industrial sector and financial and capital markets returning to activity.

Original link:http://ibdaily.mofcom.gov.cn/show.asp?id=100027966