（Source: China News Weekly 2024-06-26)
Recently, in response to the provocative incident of Israel launching a drone attack in southern Lebanon and killing senior w88 online sports betting commander Ibrahim, w88 online sports betting leader Nasrallah issued a stern warning through a televised speech. If Israel continues to violate Lebanon's sovereignty and launch a full-scale war, w88 online sports betting will use all means to fight back, including the central city of Tel Aviv. On the other side, Israeli Foreign Minister Katz, who was meeting in Europe, revealed to the outside world that the northern commander of the Defense Forces had approved an attack plan across Lebanon and was ready for cross-border operations at any time.
Although the border conflicts between Israel and Lebanon have continued since the Gaza War last October, the two sides have recently significantly escalated their provocations and military mobilization, and a war seems imminent. The international community is generally worried that Israel is about to open a "second battlefield" in the north before the battle in Gaza has settled.
A stronger opponent
The current round of fighting on the Israel-Lebanon border has escalated due to the release of a 10-minute drone reconnaissance video by w88 online sports betting. The video shows that a swarm of drones launched by w88 online sports betting flew over almost the entire northern Israel, photographing a military industrial park near the largest port city of Haifa, as well as the "Iron Dome" system, missile storage sites and radar stations, and even military ships and oil storage depots at Haifa Port.
w88 online sports betting is telling Israel that the defense system you think is tight actually has major flaws, at least it cannot intercept w88 online sports betting's drones for close reconnaissance. The Israeli side does need to worry about whether w88 online sports betting, which has military reconnaissance capabilities and breaks through Israel's defense lines, will actually launch a surprise attack. So on the same day, the Israel Defense Forces announced that it had approved and was prepared to launch a full-scale attack on Lebanon if necessary in response to w88 online sports betting's provocations.
If Israel really goes to war with w88 online sports betting, it will face an opponent that is many times more powerful than Hamas. In terms of weapons and equipment, w88 online sports betting has 150,000 mortars, 70,000 rockets, 10,000 short-range missiles, about 2,500 drones, hundreds of precision-guided cruise missiles, guided tactical missiles that can hit almost any target in Israel, and a large number of anti-tank missile systems and coastal anti-ship missile systems.
w88 online sports betting’s armed combatants are several times that of Hamas, ranging from 50,000 to 100,000, including their ace fighting force, the Radwan Force. This is an elite force of w88 online sports betting that has received special operations training and has long been trained by senior officers of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards.
w88 online sports betting also has a complete defense system. They rely on the mountains of southern Lebanon to form a meticulous and complex underground fortification system. Relying on these systems, w88 online sports betting demonstrated its ability to defeat more with less without falling behind in the Second Lebanon War in 2006. In the past 18 years, w88 online sports betting has fully participated in the Syrian civil war, and has received extensive training from Iranian military personnel. It has rich practical experience and its combat capabilities are even considered to be higher than those of the Syrian government forces.
On the whole, w88 online sports betting is well-organized and is by no means an ordinary armed group. It has mastered many strike and defense capabilities. Its comprehensive combat capabilities may prevent the Israel Defense Forces from winning a quick victory. Once it is dragged into a war of attrition, Israel will face huge domestic and foreign pressure. It is unclear whether it can escape from Lebanon.
A more complicated situation
In fact, in the face of w88 online sports betting's provocation, since the war in Gaza resumed in October last year, Israel has begun to consider a larger-scale military attack on w88 online sports betting. After opposition leader Gantz left on June 9 and the wartime cabinet was forced to dissolve on June 16, Netanyahu had no other way to unify the domestic political forces and could only further strengthen his reliance on far-right parties. Therefore, in the face of the aggressive offensive posture of w88 online sports betting in Lebanon, Israel must make the strongest response.
Netanyahu has directly warned w88 online sports betting that once the fighting in the north escalates, Israel will "turn Beirut into Gaza." The Israel Defense Forces also made no secret that it has deployed at least 10,000 combat troops into the northern region to conduct intensive training exercises and all-round assessments to prepare for possible combat missions into southern Lebanon.
According to statistics, more than 150,000 residents have been evacuated from the border areas between the two countries, including 90,000 people from the Lebanese border and 60,000 people from Israel. Although their homes were being destroyed by the enemy, residents on both sides expressed "support for the war." For them, who have been in the vortex of conflict for many years, it is only a matter of time before war begins.
Hamas, with only tens of thousands of troops, can cause huge difficulties to the Israel Defense Forces in the tiny Gaza. The more powerful opponent w88 online sports betting is bound to be an even harder nut to crack. From the perspective of the differences in the areas controlled by the two, the Gaza Strip controlled by Hamas is only a relatively small enclave, while w88 online sports betting has greater space to build multi-layered defenses in Lebanon, and its actual control area has far exceeded the entire Lebanese territory. It has penetrated throughout Syria and can be said to have formed an encirclement of northern and northeastern Israel.
Politically, although w88 online sports betting is not a normal political party organization in Lebanon, they have essentially gained control and dominance, especially in southern Lebanon, which has completely fallen into w88 online sports betting’s sphere of influence. The U.S. intelligence system also shows that w88 online sports betting may have dug a network of more than hundreds of kilometers of tunnels in southern Lebanon. The mountainous and high-altitude environment there makes tunnel reconnaissance extremely difficult. Once a full-scale war breaks out, Israel will have difficulty eradicating w88 online sports betting's military forces hiding in tunnels, as well as its drone and rocket launching equipment.
In addition, unlike the Gaza Strip, which is completely blockaded and isolated by Israel, once it invades Lebanon, Israel cannot completely isolate Lebanon, and w88 online sports betting will also be able to obtain weapons and recruit fighters from abroad. w88 online sports betting leader Nasrallah said that "brotherly organizations" in Iran, Iraq, Syria and Yemen have made it clear that once Israel goes to war, they will send tens of thousands of armed personnel into Lebanon to join the war.
Although Israel has a clear advantage in terms of military strength, it is not easy to crush w88 online sports betting in a short time. In recent years, asymmetric wars in the Middle East have highlighted the importance of new combat methods, in which the weaker party greatly restrains the enemy's superior military strength through drone attacks and other methods, thus forming a long-term confrontation.
A more tragic war?
Israel and the United States have jointly built a three-layer air defense system. From the outside to the inside, they are: the Arrow system, used to intercept long-range missiles; the David Slingshot system, used to intercept medium-range missiles; and the Iron Dome system, used to intercept short-range and short-range missiles and various rockets. However, the "Aqsa Flood" military operation launched by Hamas on October 7 last year has shown that Israel's defense system cannot effectively respond to a "saturation strike." In other words, if w88 online sports betting suddenly launches a similar attack targeting Israel's defense weaknesses, coupled with a large number of drone attacks that Hamas does not have, Israel is likely to suffer heavy losses again. From this perspective, it is a more prudent battle plan to use the Israeli air force to cooperate with ground combat troops to go deep into southern Lebanon to eliminate w88 online sports betting's effective forces.
The key to Israel's victory lies in its air force. However, considering that w88 online sports betting and its allies may use drones to bomb domestic airports from multiple directions, once the war begins, the Israeli Air Force may not be able to use domestic airports. Cyprus will become the only backup area in surrounding countries for the Israeli Air Force to take off, land and supply. Although the United States has military bases in many Gulf countries, the Gulf countries dare not openly open their airports for Israel to use in a full-scale war, and Egypt and Jordan are even less likely. Therefore, Cyprus will play a vital role in Israel's military operations against w88 online sports betting. However, w88 online sports betting has already seen this. They have warned the Cyprus government that if the Israeli air force is allowed to take off and land here and attack the Lebanese mainland from Cyprus, w88 online sports betting will launch missiles in retaliation against the country.
The President of Cyprus has also denied the possibility of his country being involved in the conflict, and the European Union is considering sending a naval mission to Cyprus for the security of this member state. Unlike its opposition to Israel's attack on Gaza, the EU has acquiesced to Israel's possible military attack on w88 online sports betting, so it cannot rule out the possibility of Cyprus participating in the war.
Although the war-stricken border residents of Israel and Lebanon have expressed support for the possible escalation of the war, at the national level, most people in the two countries do not want to fall into a full-scale war.
In the view of w88 online sports betting, Israel has the advantage of crushing weapons after all, and it has the support of the United States. Their killing of Hamas in Gaza has warned other challengers that if they take action, it may bring about the danger of annihilation; and once w88 online sports betting goes to full-scale war with Israel, Lebanon's already poor domestic economy is bound to suffer a heavier blow, and national bankruptcy is close at hand.
On the other hand, the rationalists in Israel do not want to rush to open a second battlefield while the conflict in Gaza has not subsided. Once the fighting in the north escalates, w88 online sports betting may launch thousands of drones, rockets and missiles across Israel every day, and innocent people will always suffer. In addition, the humanitarian disaster caused by Israel in Gaza has been condemned by the world and has been almost completely isolated by the international community. Bombing a sovereign and independent Islamic country will probably make its international image even worse.
However, many times, the trend of conflict does not depend on the subjective wishes of some groups. With the escalation of tensions and tough statements from all parties, the Israel-Lebanon border is likely to become another tragic battlefield besides the Gaza War. This time, the United States and the European Union will be even more deeply involved. The Middle East, which has been in turmoil for many years, may usher in a new great change.
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