2010Year: World Economic and w88 Development and Policy Outlook

2009Year12month18日, w88 casino, ChinaWTOThe institute released "20107801_7833

Since2009Since the first half of the year, the global economy has begun to recover slowly, with major developed countriesGDPThe decline has basically stopped, and major developed economies such as the United States, the Eurozone and Japan are all in decline2009Realized a rebound in the second quarter of the year. Multinational corporations are expected to invest their foreign direct investment in2010gradually recovered, and in2011The year begins to grow.

Although extreme systemic risks have been basically eliminated, there is still great instability and vulnerability in the global financial system. The financial crisis has cast a huge shadow on employment in various countries around the world, and the number of unemployed people has increased sharply.2010Oil prices are expected to rise in 2020, and inflation is expected to strengthen. Taking into account various factors, the report believes that,2010The overall situation of the world economy is optimistic, and the growth rate is expected to be3%About. After the recovery is consolidated, countries should coordinate the timing and mechanisms for withdrawing stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. w88 protectionism will continue to exist but will not become mainstream.

Report forecast2009The U.S. economic growth rate in0.5%，2010The U.S. economy will grow3%. The U.S. consumption-led economic model will not change, but the Obama administration is trying to achieve it“Remanufacturing”'s goal may be difficult to achieve, and it will not help change the w88 imbalance. The loose monetary policy of the United States will be maintained, and in terms of exchange rate policy, the U.S. dollar exchange rate will show a long-term downward trend of shock. Factors such as low interest rates, huge fiscal deficits, and current account deficits indicate that the U.S. dollar will tend to depreciate. The U.S. government, which has huge liabilities, also hopes to use the depreciation of the U.S. dollar to stimulate exports, pass on the cost of the crisis, and reduce the current account deficit. Therefore, the U.S. dollar exchange rate will show a long-term downward trend.

Report thinks2010The EU economy will gradually recover in 2019, and the euro area economic growth rate is expected to be2%around, the EU economic growth rate is1.5%Around 10220_10245|, the risk of economic downturn is small, and the EU unemployment rate will remain at8.5%~10%Around 10277_10362|, the unemployment rate adjustment will take a long time. In terms of economic and w88 policies, the EU's monetary policy will remain stable, but the loose fiscal policy faces pressure to exit. The EU's w88 protectionism is on the rise, and w88 frictions with its trading partners, especially China, are increasing.

Report forecast2010Year JapanGDPGrowth rate is1.1%. Japan in201010828_10899

Report predicts Russian economy2010year will appear5%Positive growth around; forecast2009Year BrazilGDPGrown to1%，2010Annual economic growth is expected to reach5.5%;The report believes that India’s economic development prospects are good and expected2009Year and2010YearGDPGrowth rate is about5%and6%。

The report believes that China’s economy has entered a new growth channel,2009all yearGDPThe growth rate is optimistically estimated to be achieved8.5%。

　　2010, my country’s economic stimulus policy is expected to continue, and the tone of monetary policy is“Loose and moderate”, fiscal policy will remain moderately flexible, but the flow of funds will undergo structural adjustments, with more flowing to consumption-related fields, investment in technology research and development innovation, and more social economic resources directed to promoting industrial technological innovation and improving social development. External pressure on exchange rate policy will continue to increase, making it more difficult to manage expectations for RMB appreciation. In terms of w88 policy, in order to cope with the escalation of w88 protection measures against China by various countries and maintain the world w88 order, my country should actively participate in and promote the conclusion of the Doha Round negotiations as soon as possible. (Wang Yali)