“There will definitely be an impact. The extent of the impact has not yet been revealed, but it is definitely a negative factor.” Director of the Department of Educational Economics at Peking University who has devoted himself to research on college students’ employment for many yearsRen YuechangProfessor Jun told a reporter from China Youth Daily that the financial crisis has exacerbated the severe employment situation for college students in our country.
He said that the financial crisis in the United States has affected the real economy of the United States, and the weakness of the real economy of the United States, as my country's largest trading partner, has directly caused my country's export companies to face a severe situation. "According to the data I have, in the first half of the year, there were6.7Thousands of private enterprises went bankrupt, and20076750_676134.2%The collapse of so many companies will definitely affect the job market for college graduates. ”
Li Junjiang, Dean of the w88 casino of Economics at Jilin University, also believes that before the U.S. financial turmoil affected China, some Chinese companies encountered great challenges to their living environment due to rising resource prices and other factors. "The impact of the U.S. financial turmoil has made things worse. When companies encounter difficulties, they are bound to reduce their employment or even lay off employees."
He believes that our country is still facing the danger of economic decline. "Even during the rapid development of our country's economy, the employment problem is very prominent. IfGDPThe growth rate is declining, even if it is declining1%, the impact on the employment situation cannot be underestimated. ”
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Dan YueChanProfessor Jun believes that even if there is a lot of bad news, judging from the employment structure of college students, there are some reassuring factors among this group of graduates. He said that according to surveys and statistics over the years, state agencies and institutions at all levels are the largest employers of college students, accounting for the total number of college graduates that year12.7%Around this time, the job market is stable.
He also said that whenever the European and American markets are in recession, some multinational companies often increase their investment in China. "This time, many giants in Europe and the United States have laid off employees, but few of them have laid off employees in China. Some have even added employees in China. If China's economy can continue to improve, I think this trend will continue."
YueChanJun believes that the financial crisis will also objectively promote the adjustment of my country's employment structure, because the country has attached great importance to college employment in recent years and has formulated many policies to guide it, such as the Western Plan. "But the number is still relatively small, accounting for less than the proportion of college graduates1%. These policies will be strengthened in the future. ”
Li Junjiang also believes that our government has launched many measures to expand domestic demand and plans to invest within two years4Trillion’s decision to expand domestic demand, “Although the long-term effects remain to be seen, it will undoubtedly have a positive impact on the job market. ”
Researcher Yuan Gangming of the Institute of China and World Economics at Tsinghua University believes that at present, the industries affected by the financial crisis in China are not very large industries and will not be greatly affected in terms of recruiting talents. "Especially the tertiary industry such as the service industry. Under the influence of the national policy to stimulate domestic demand, the service industry will release more job opportunities. And those overheated industries, such as securities, finance, real estate, etc., may experience a cold winter."
He also said that although the raw materials, heavy industry and other sectors have declined due to the current economic trend, they will resume development after a period of adjustment. Therefore, overall, the impact of this financial crisis on my country's employment will be limited.
Yuan Gangming also said that China's economy is unlikely to be in a long-term decline, and the current government attaches great importance to the employment issue. He predicts that the sluggish phenomenon in the employment market should only occur in these two quarters.2009It will be relieved in the spring of next year.
YueChanJun Ze suggested that college graduates should also correct their mentality. For example, refer to the income distribution of previous years. If this year’s expectations are high, they should lower their expectations appropriately. “After all, in an economic downturn, everything cannot be as expected. ”
And Li Junjiang is here10month23日At an academic report meeting on "U.S. Wall Street Financial 'Tsunami' and its Impact on China's Economy" held on the campus of Jilin University, it was recommended that undergraduate students should take the postgraduate entrance examination for graduation next year, and graduate students should take the Ph.D. examination for graduation next year.
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“This is also an investment”, YueChangJun said that the opportunity cost of studying during the economic crisis is relatively small. "Last year, our country's economic situation was very good, so the number of people taking the postgraduate entrance examination decreased by approximately6%, but I estimate that the number of people taking the postgraduate entrance examination will increase this year. ”
（Original link：http://edu.people.com.cn/GB/1053/8342611.html Reporter：Ye Tieqiao Intern Zhou Jieren）
