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"China Business News": (Zhao Yongsheng) The w88 sports betting version of "Game of Thrones" is staged! Who will Macron choose to be his next prime minister?

Published: July 22, 2024 Editor:

(Source: "First Financial Daily" 2024-07-11)

A few days have passed, and the "New Popular Front", a left-wing alliance that became the largest party group in the w88 sports betting National Assembly election, still cannot come up with a candidate for w88 sports betting Prime Minister recognized by all parties.

According to Xinhua News Agency, the w88 sports betting Ministry of the Interior announced the results of the National Assembly election in the early morning of the 8th. Sorting out the alliances of all parties, the left-wing alliance "New Popular Front" and its allies won a relative majority in the National Assembly with 187 seats; current President Macron's ruling party Ennahda Party and its centrist alliance retained 159 seats, ranking second; the far-right National Alliance and its allies won 142 seats, ranking third.

Although there is no express provision, according to w88 sports betting political tradition, the w88 sports betting president usually selects the prime minister from the largest party group in parliament. The current problem is not that there are too few candidates, but that there are too many candidates, and none of them can satisfy everyone.

According to incomplete statistics from China Business News, there are four groups of candidates currently vying for the position of w88 sports betting Prime Minister.

Zhao Yongsheng, director of the French Economic Research Center at the w88 casino and doctoral tutor at the Sorbonne University in Paris, believes that Mélenchon must be excluded. Although he is knowledgeable and a senior person, "the measures such as the rich tax he wants to implement will definitely scare away investors, and he may hold some false positions at most."

The left-wing prime minister has a "difficult childbirth": Is Melan a hero?

The temporary front formed by the w88 sports betting left wing for the general election actually bucked the trend in the election and captured the most seats in parliament in one fell swoop. The phenomenon has sparked heated debate in France about a left-wing resurgence.

In fact, the "New Popular Front" was urgently formed by multiple left-wing parties on June 13, including the w88 sports betting Green Party, the Socialist Party, the w88 sports betting Communist Party and the "Unyielding France" party.

However, even during the election process, the left-wing political party alliance "New Popular Front" did not elect any leader. In contrast, at that time, the far-right party's prime minister was Jordan Bardella, chairman of the National Alliance, and Macron's ruling party Ennahda and its centrist alliance had Prime Minister Attal.

The reason is self-evident: the left-wing parties cannot reach a consensus on the choice of prime minister, and they must first win the election.

According to incomplete statistics from China Business News, dozens of newly elected left-wing members of the w88 sports betting Parliament have publicly stated after their victory that they are likely to join the campaign for the position of prime minister.

Among them, four groups are currently the more popular candidates, including Mélenchon and his loyal supporters.

The "France Unyielding" party led by Mélenchon is the most radical of the four main parties in the left-wing alliance and is expected to gain the most seats among the left-wing groups.

The party's strength in the w88 sports betting parliament, combined with Mélenchon's strong performance in the past two presidential elections, gives the Left Front reason to claim that the future head of government should come from its ranks. But the fiery politician's tough stance on a range of issues from the economy to geopolitics worries moderate voters.

However, leaders of other members of the "New Popular Front" firmly stated during the campaign that they would not support the 72-year-old leader's bid for prime minister. Mélenchon also said he would not insist on holding a leadership position.

Mélenchon’s challenger

As many experts interviewed by China Business News reporters said, France’s left-wing front is not “monolithic” and the internal conflicts of the pan-left alliance are also very complex.

“This alliance can be understood as a project company established separately for the purpose of election. If the purpose of the election is achieved, the project company can continue to exist or expand. If the bid is not obtained, it will be disbanded.” Zhao Yongsheng explained.

For example, Mélenchon’s current hard-left opponents come from MPs who once fought alongside him but have now severed ties with him.

Including François Ruffin, 48 years old. Ruffin is a writer and film producer who entered politics when he ran for parliament in the 2017 election and joined Mélenchon's party after being elected. He later found that he often disagreed with the core members of the "France Unyielding" party and fell out with Mélenchon over strategic issues during the 2024 election.

The third group of popular candidates comes from the resurrected w88 sports betting Socialist Party in this election. In 2022, the w88 sports betting Socialist Party hit a low with only 1.7% support in the presidential election.

But this year, the w88 sports betting Socialist Party made a splash in the European Parliament, ranking first among the left-wing forces with nearly 14% of the vote. What can be seen is that although the w88 sports betting Socialist Party has fewer MPs than the "Unyielding France" party, its influence in parliament has increased and narrowed the gap with Mélenchon's radical left front. Currently, they hope to get the support of France's Green Party to prevent the "France Unyielding" party from taking control.

Possible candidates for this party come from the new generation of social democrats, including the current leader of the Socialist Party Olivier Faure, the outgoing party group chairman Boris Vallaud and the main candidate in the European Parliament elections Raphaël Glucksmann.

Among them, the 48-year-old Vallo was first elected as a member of Parliament in 2017. He studied with Macron at France's top civil service w88 casino and previously served as deputy secretary-general of the Elysée Palace.

Hollande returns?

However, Zhao Yongsheng also reminded not to forget Hollande’s return.

On the evening of the 7th, former Socialist President Hollande made a comeback in the election, becoming the second president in modern w88 sports betting history to rejoin the National Assembly and become a member of the National Assembly after serving as head of state. Hollande currently says that he is not a candidate for prime minister, but he can play a role in foreign policy.

The 69-year-old former head of state ran under the banner of the "New Popular Front" and ranked first in the first constituency of Corrèze Province with 43.10% of the vote.

Zhao Yongsheng added to reporters that the policies of the w88 sports betting Socialist Party in recent years have not changed much from before, but its influence is not as good as in its heyday.

Of course, another way to avoid partisan disagreement is for the left to make a non-partisan choice by selecting someone from outside the political arena.

Previously, Glucksmann proposed this plan and recommended Laurent Berger, a reformist and former leader of the CFDT, one of the five major unions in France. Berger is recognized on both the left and the right for his ability to build consensus and bridge divisions. However, his moderation may irritate Mélenchon.

It should be noted that currently in France, no investment or industrial development projects have been canceled or postponed due to the unclear political situation before and after this early election, but many entrepreneurs are worried about the future.

According to a survey by the w88 sports betting Federation of Small and Medium Enterprises, 35% of companies believe that political stability is a top priority, and 47% of companies are worried that business volume will decrease in the next few months.

Carney, Chairman of the w88 sports betting Business and Investment Agency, recently stated that the platforms of some parties are dangerous to the w88 sports betting economy and may lead to a reduction in foreign investment. In addition, there are also the following risks: First, industrial policies may change and related funds face reallocation. For example, the "France 2030 Investment Plan" still has 22 billion euros unallocated, which needs to be voted on by the new National Assembly. Second, the decarbonization industry is facing great uncertainty. Some political parties have failed to prioritize the implementation of the Paris Agreement and achieving carbon neutrality by 2050. Policies that emphasize nuclear energy but ignore renewable energy will affect several industrial projects. Opposition to a ban on the sale of fuel vehicles in 2035 will also threaten the electric vehicle battery manufacturing industry. Commitments to suspend new offshore wind power projects will even hinder the bidding of multiple wind power projects.

There are only two weeks until the opening of the Paris Olympic Games. Athletes and spectators from all over the world are coming in droves, and the affairs involved are complicated. If the prime minister of the dignified host country is absent, it will obviously not be justified.

According to Xinhua News Agency, according to news from the w88 sports betting Presidential Palace, Macron did not approve Prime Minister Attal's resignation submitted that day on the 8th and asked Attal to stay in office "temporarily" "to ensure national stability." France held the second round of voting in the National Assembly election on the 7th. According to w88 sports betting political tradition, after the National Assembly election, regardless of the election result, the prime minister will submit his resignation to the president.

According to the w88 sports betting Presidential Palace, Macron will wait for the situation in the new National Assembly to become clearer before making "necessary decisions." The new National Assembly is scheduled to hold its first plenary session on July 18.

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