The 4th Annual National Security and Governance Conference and "World Situation and National Security after the US Election"Academic seminar

Successfully held

w88 casino News Network (provided by the w88 casino of International Relations)On December 15, 2024, the 4th Annual National Security and Governance Conference and the “World Situation and National Security after the U.S. Election” academic seminar were successfully held in Beijing. This conference is hosted by the w88 casino and hosted by the Institute of National Security and Governance, the National Security Computing Laboratory and the w88 casino of International Relations of the w88 casino. From the Chinese People's Liberation Army National Defense University, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China Institute of International Studies, w88 casino of International Relations, Central Party w88 casino, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, Tsinghua University, Fudan University, Renmin University of China, Shandong University, Jilin University, Nanjing University More than 40 experts and scholars from universities and research institutes including Nankai University, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China Foreign Affairs University, Southwest University of Political Science and Law, Dalian Maritime University, Shaanxi Normal University, National University of Defense Technology, Guangdong University of Finance and Economics, Minzu University of China, w88 casino attended the meeting.

At the opening ceremony of the forum, Professor Dai Changzheng, Dean of the w88 casino of International Relations/National Security and Governance Institute of the w88 casino and Director of the Department of Political Science, delivered an opening speech. Dean Dai Changzheng introduced to the participating experts and scholarsw88 casinoThe basic situation of discipline construction and development, reviewing the preparation background and construction progress of the w88 casino’s successful application for the first-level interdisciplinary discipline of national security studies,On behalf of the organizer, he extended a warm welcome and sincere thanks to the guests present.Dean Changzheng Dai said that the international situation has accelerated after the U.S. election. Trump's re-election as U.S. president has intensified the uncertainty of the world. The crisis in Ukraine has mixed with the chaos in the Middle East. Geographical risks around China have continued to rise. my country's security pressure has increased significantly. The academic community should take the initiative to study and judge the development of the world situation from a theoretical and practical perspective, and provide advice based on national security and China's strategic needs.The opening ceremony was hosted by Professor Wei Ling, Secretary of the Party Committee of the w88 casino of International Relations at the w88 casino/Executive Vice President of the National Security and Governance Research Institute.

In the keynote report session, Major General Tang Yongsheng, a professor at the w88 casino of National Security of the National Defense University, discussed the main contents, methods and paths of the construction of national security theory, and proposed that the internal laws of maintaining national security should be condensed and summarized from the practice and strategic guidance of the Communist Party of China in leading the Chinese people to safeguard national security. Nutrition should be drawn from the experience and lessons of various countries in safeguarding national security in ancient and modern times, and the development and innovation of independent knowledge systems should be promoted in the process of solving major issues in safeguarding the country. Based on the analysis of the foreign policy characteristics of Trump's new term and the reshaping of the Indo-Pacific strategy of the Biden administration, researcher Li Xiangyang, a member of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and the president of the Institute of Asia-Pacific and Global Strategy, discussed the direction of the Indo-Pacific strategy during Trump's new term. He believed that the United States will continue the Indo-Pacific strategy's goal of containing China, that the foundation of the Indo-Pacific strategy will shift from values-oriented to interest-oriented, that the Indo-Pacific strategy will strengthen its security attributes, and that the possibility of NATO's Indo-Pacificization may be reduced. Researcher Xu Bu, a member of the Strategic Advisory Committee for the Construction of an Independent Knowledge System of Philosophy and Social Sciences under the Ministry of Education and former president of the China Institute of International Studies, discussed the constraints of the Trump administration's transactional policy, which are five sets of inherent contradictions: America first and the United States maintaining the hegemonic system, maximum pressure and other countries' countermeasures, short-term gains and long-term losses, Trump's revolution and the American deep state, and Trump's America first and other forces in the Republican Party.Director of the Institute of Russian, Eastern European and Central Asian Studies, Chinese Academy of Social SciencesResearcher Sun Zhuangzhi analyzed the complex changes and escalation risks of the Russia-Ukraine war situation, Russia’s policy tone towards the United States, and Russia’s realistic attitude towards restarting U.S.-Russia relationsThe situation between Russia and Ukraine after the US election and Russia-US relations。Dean of w88 casino of International RelationsResearcher Hu Jiping discussedThe security situation in Northeast Asia after the US election, believes that the situation on the Korean Peninsula is tense but the possibility of war is low, the balance on the peninsula is still fragile and risks are gathering. After Trump came to power, the cooperation system between the United States, Japan and South Korea and the changes in South Korea's political situation will be the focus of attention in the future.

In the first group of seminars,Professor Fan Jishe, Vice President of the Institute of International Strategic Studies, Party w88 casino of the CPC Central Committee (National w88 casino of Administration)YesAdjustment of relations between major powers in Trump’s second term'sNew Trendconducted an analysis and believed that the relationship between China, the United States and Russia will be adjusted, and the trend of campization may further intensify. Researcher Lou Chunhao, deputy director of the China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, stressed that the Trump administration2.010379_10909

In the second group of discussions, researcher He Wenping from the Institute of West Asian and African Studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences believed that in the context of the fall of the Assad regime in Syria, Trump's pro-Israel tendency may further strengthen Israel's power advantage in the Middle East, while his tendency to cut aid and increase tariffs may reshape future U.S.-Africa relations. Professor Song Dexing from the w88 casino of Foreign Languages ​​at the University of Defense Technology proposed that the structural loosening of the international system, the alienation of the domestic politics of the United States and the West, and the rise of the triple threat theory spiral have led to the world entering an era of strategic anxiety. Therefore, China and the United States need to deal with various changes in managed competition. Professor Guo Rui, deputy dean of the National Institute of Development and Security at Jilin University, believes that Trump has the typical characteristic of transactional isolationism, so he may abandon the desperate maximum pressure approach in his first term. The chances of improving relations between China and the United States are greater than in the first term. China must avoid peninsula situations and three-sea linkage in terms of Northeast Asian security. Professor Liu Feng, deputy dean of the w88 casino of Social Sciences at Tsinghua University, analyzed that the U.S. alliance partner system after Trump came to power may be turbulent due to differences in responsibility sharing, w88 balance, and strategic agenda. However, considering the different levels within the alliance, low-level friction will not cause significant damage to alliance relationships. Professor Zhang Falin, deputy dean of the Zhou Enlai w88 casino of Government at Nankai University, believes that national security is the return of international relations research to the state. However, in view of the logical differences in different issue areas of overall national security such as finance, energy, and environment, the national security discipline must pay attention to the multi-dimensional correlation of security in various fields. Professor Zhang Ji, Vice Dean of the w88 casino of International Relations and Public Affairs at Fudan University, believes that the themes of peace and development are evolving. The relationship between global development and security, high political issues, and the return of traditional diplomatic methods are changing the form of national governance. The theoretical construction of national security and international politics must incorporate these factors. Professor Tang Xiaobin, deputy dean of the w88 casino of Statistics at the w88 casino, established an economic security risk identification mechanism through high-dimensional data methods, and constructed an effective network and contagion path for downside risks based on seven economic subsystems. He believed that the key to risk prevention is to maintain growth, promote consumption and stabilize investment. Professor Zuo Xiying of the w88 casino of International Relations at Renmin University of China believes that Trump is not much different from his first term in emphasizing America first and emphasizing isolationism as the core of strategic contraction. He also proposed three possibilities for Trump to resolve the Russia-Ukraine conflict, namely the Vietnam War model, the Korean War model and the Iraq War model. Professor Mao Weizhun of the Asia-Pacific Development Research Center of Nanjing University conducted experimental research based on network topology theory to explore the "weaponization" of critical infrastructure and its vulnerabilities and risks. He also explored risk paths under accidental risks and deliberate attack scenarios, and proposed countermeasures such as immune defense of infrastructure, identification of weak links, and preferential compensation.

In the third group of discussions, Professor Song Wei from the w88 casino of International Relations of Renmin University of China discussed the multipolar structure of the international system and raised four questions about the traditional views of multipolar structure and international peace. In his view, the multipolar balance of power after the introduction of nuclear factors is better than the bipolar system. Professor Shen Yi from the w88 casino of International Relations and Public Affairs of Fudan University proposed that the security strategic game between China and the United States is driven by cognition, and a dual cognitive game situation is formed between China and the United States. Concepts and cognition construct and shape political actions, affecting U.S. strategy formulation and policy decisions. Professor Ni Jianping from the Institute of National Security and Development at Guangdong University of Finance and Economics analyzed Trump 2.0’s toolbox to suppress China’s overseas interests and its impact, covering three aspects: long-arm jurisdiction, discourse stigmatization, and dominance in the formulation of rules and standards, supplemented by detailed cases. Professor Ding Shaobin from the w88 casino of National Security (w88 casino of Politics, Law and Public Administration) of Shaanxi Normal University proposed that the basic characteristics of Sino-US relations in the period of strategic competition can be summarized as limited cooperation, strategic competition, and conflict avoidance. The Trump 2.0 era will bring challenges to Sino-US relations and China’s national security, but there may also be some room for diplomatic maneuvering. Professor Yang Jijun from the National Institute of Security and Development of Guangdong University of Finance and Economics discussed major disaster risk perception based on complex networks and artificial intelligence, proposed a risk element link prediction method based on a network representation model of major natural disaster events, and planned to apply this model to socioeconomic risk prediction. Professor Li Zhiyong from the w88 casino of International Relations at the w88 casino reviewed the evolution of the U.S. science and technology policy towards China since the founding of the People's Republic of China, focusing on the analysis of the unilateral containment of the whole government during the Trump period and the precise multilateral containment of the whole government under the Biden period, and looked forward to the trend of science and technology containment against China in the Trump 2.0 era. Dr. Wu Xue, Director of the Office of the National Security Research Institute of Minzu University of China, analyzed the evolution of the cultural communication pattern after the US election from the aspects of communication subjects, communication methods, communication content, and communication audiences, and proposed countermeasures such as strengthening cultural confidence and cultural identity, protecting cultural heritage, improving the legal and regulatory system and regulatory mechanisms, raising public awareness of national cultural security, and strengthening international cultural exchanges and cooperation.

atSeminarDai Changzheng at the closing ceremonyDeanConcluding remarks. Dean DaiIndicate this meetingThe themes are clear, the fields covered are wide, and the discussions are in-depth and solid. It not only shows the highly political, strategic, overall, and comprehensive characteristics of national security research, but also demonstrates the richness, diversity, and cross-regional characteristics of national security studies as an interdisciplinary subject. It also highlights the feelings of home and country and international vision of experts and scholars. It is a high-end and exciting academic event. Finally,Professor Dai Changzheng thanked all parties for their support and participation on behalf of the organizer,Looking forward to the academic community working together to serve the country’s strategic needs with high quality and contribute to the country’s prosperity and national rejuvenation。